Lerch, Sebastian; Baran, Sándor; Möller, Annette Christine; Groß, Jürgen; Schefzik, Roman; Hemri, Stephan; Graeter, Maximiliane: Simulation-based comparison of multivariate ensemble post-processing methods. In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics. Jg.27 H. 2. 2020, S. 349-371
Inhalt
- Post-processing of ensemble forecasts
- Step 1: univariate post-processing
- Step 2: incorporating dependence structures using copulas to obtain multivariate post-processing
- Simulation settings
- Setting 1: multivariate Gaussian distribution
- Setting 2: multivariate censored extreme value distribution
- Setting 3: multivariate Gaussian distribution with changes over time
- Results
- Discussion and conclusion
- Appendix A: Details on the left-censored generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution
- Appendix B: Evaluating probabilistic forecasts
- Code availability
- Supplement
- Author contributions
- Competing interests
- Special issue statement
- Acknowledgements
- Financial support
- Review statement
- References