Ötting, Marius: Sports statistics in the data age: betting fraud detection and performance evaluation. 2020
Inhalt
- Acknowledgements
- Statement of contribution
- Introduction
- The demand for English Premier League football betting
- Betting market inefficiencies are short-lived in German professional football
- Integrating multiple data sources in match-fixing warning systems
- Introduction
- Building models for betting volumes and odds
- Detection of match fixing
- Classification results based on betting volumes
- Classification results based on betting odds
- Combining the classification based on volumes and odds
- Discussion of the results
- Conclusions
- The hot hand in professional darts
- A regularised hidden Markov model for analysing the `hot shoe' in football
- A copula-based multivariate hidden Markov model for modelling momentum in football
- Performance under pressure in skill tasks: An analysis of professional darts
- Introduction
- Performance under pressure
- Terminology
- Potential effects of pressure
- Empirical findings for performance under pressure in skill tasks
- Task features of the darts setting
- Pressure situations in darts
- Empirical analysis
- Discussion
- Predicting play calls in the National Football League using hidden Markov models
- Summary and outlook