Inhalt

•  
   Introduction
•  
  Higher-order Beliefs and Coordination Failure
•  
   Introduction
•  
   Related works
•  
   Example
•  
   The model
•  
   Hypotheses
•  
   Experimental design
•  
   Hypotheses
•  
   Results
•  
   Conclusion
•  
  Appendix
•  
   Belief hierarchies
•  
   Equilibrium selection and models of higher-order beliefs
•  
   Order effects
•  
   Data
•  
   Instructions
•  
   Quiz
•  
  Projects with Uncertain Requirements
•  
   Introduction
•  
   Literature
•  
   The model
•  
   The breakthrough effort distribution
•  
  Results
•  
   Non-cooperative solution
•  
   Welfare maximizing solution
•  
   Free-riding, encouragement effect and delay of effort
•  
   Discussion
•  
   Deadlines
•  
   Full information
•  
   Patient players
•  
   The effect of the number of players
•  
   Effect of costs and project quality on different projects
•  
   Concluding remarks
•  
   Appendix
•  
   Derivation of the expected utility
•  
   Theorem 1 (Optimal Effort)
•  
   Theorem 3 (Last-minute rush)
•  
   Lemma 1 (Asymmetric equilibria)
•  
   Theorem 2 (Social planner)
•  
   Constant hazard rate
•  
  Probabilistic Transitivity in Sports
•  
   Introduction
•  
   Setup
•  
   The optimization problem
•  
  Optimization under a known ranking
•  
   Transitivity without draws
•  
   Solution process for the case including draws
•  
   Ranking methods
•  
   The Linear Ordering Problem
•  
   Branch and Bound Algorithm
•  
   Tabu Search
•  
   Popular ranking methods
•  
   Comparing the explanatory power of rankings
•  
   Data
•  
   Empirical analysis
•  
   Soccer in Austria: Finding an optimal ranking
•  
   Ranking systems and maximum likelihood estimates
•  
   Hypothesis testing
•  
   Conclusion
•  
  Appendix
•  
   Proofs
•  
   Parameter space
•  
   Code